And that's just the crimes reported to the Citizens Clear Map. That didn't include the mysterious purse snatcher Joe Moore couldn't catch and forgot to file a police report on.
So, as of today, instead of 6182 crimes reported in the 49th ward, there are only 6181 crimes.
Instead of throwing un-human, impersonal percentages around, let's put these numbers in a human perspective. That's about 17 crimes a day. Or another way to put this in human perspective. 1 of every 9 residents had a crime committed against them in the last 365 days - and then officially reported it. And one more way to put this in a human perspective. That's 2000 more people who had crimes committed against them than voted for Joe 'Crime is Down' Moore this year.
01 - 90 days: 1462
91 - 180 days: 1675
181 - 270 days: 1586
271 - 365 days: 1458
Total Crimes in the 49th Ward in the last 365 days: ....> 6181.
Report Generated: Saturday, December 29, 2007
Summarized By: Ward (49)
Category: All Crime
Chicago Police Department Disclaimer: This data reflects crimes as reported to the police as of the current date, occurring during the selected timeframe for the selected area. These crimes are based upon preliminary information supplied to the Police Department by the reporting parties and have not all been verified. The preliminary crime classifications may be changed at a later date based upon additional investigation and there is always the possibility of mechanical or human error. Therefore, the Chicago Police Department does not guarantee (either expressed or implied) the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or correct sequencing of the information and the information should not be used for comparison purposes over time. The Chicago Police Department will not be responsible for any error or omission, or for the use of, or the results obtained from the use of this information.
12 comments:
Clear map side by side ward comparison.
Ward 40. All crimes in the last 365 days - 4505
Ward 48. All crimes in the last 365 days - 4101
Ward 50. All crimes in the last 365 days - 4130
In human terms, there were 1500 to 2000 less crimes reported in our neighboring wards this year.
Aggravated assaults. Past 365 days
Rank) Ward - Count
1) Ward 49 - 68 Aggravated assaults
2) Ward 50 - 44 Aggravated assaults
3 ) Ward 40 - 42 Aggravated assaults
4) Ward 48 - 38 Aggravated assaults
In human terms, two dozen more people that were assaulted with aggravation in the last 12 months than our closest competitor. Or two a month more than the 50th ward.
Sorry about that 46th ward readers. Here are your all crime numbers through Dec 29, 2007.
5798 crimes.
24/7 Howardwatcher Toni covers a crime.
How do these numbers compare to previous years?
Stop living in the past. Who give a crap about 2006 crimes? That year in crime is over and done with. Those crimes are in the books.
Why not ask how many 911 calls in the 49th ward were called in? We then could subtract the number of crimes from the number of 911 calls and see how many 911 calls are bogus.
What if 5 people call to report gunshots?
Can you normalize these statistics by the total population of each ward? Raw #s don't mean much without scale.
"Stop living in the past. Who give a crap about 2006 crimes?"
Because that's how you check whether or not crime is down. If there are fewer crimes this year than last, crime is down. If there are more, crime is up.
You can't really disprove Moore's "crime is down" claim if you don't provide evidence that crime is up. I'm just trying to help you make your case.
One major crime statistic is down in Chicago -- this year had the lowest number of homicides since 1965: http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/us/AP-Big-City-Homicides.html?_r=2&oref=slogin&oref=slogin
John Redford said....> "I went to one of my favorite books, "The Statistical Abstract of the United States" (1992) to get a longer view.
The rate of violent crime has been fairly steady over the last 15 years. The murder rate actually fell between 1980 and 1990, although aggravated assault has risen quite a bit, and rape rose a little. The rate of victimization (that is, the number of people who are victims of crimes as a fraction of the population), has been slowly but steadily declining.
Yet fear of crime seems to be going up steadily.
Politically, it's led to bizarre policies such as mandatory sentencing and life sentences for the third felony (which has not been enacted yet, thank goodness). Could this fear be related to the odd attitude displayed in the above newspaper story?
How about this for a theory: crime news is a product.
Like all manufacturers, the makers of crime news strive to constantly broaden their market. They try to diversify their product line, increase public awareness of its existence, raise its quality, and increase its quantity.
Crime news has always been around, of course, but so have toothbrushes. In the early days crime news was a local product, the stories of the neighborhood, and people made toothbrushes from local twigs too.
As industrial techniques became widespread, there grew to be national and then world-wide manufacturers of both. People specialized in its manufacture, and spent their careers thinking of better ways to make it. Now there are styles of toothbrush for every dental preference, and there is crime news at every level from books on Wall Street scandals to the gleeful ghastliness in the Enquirer.
Now everybody's got a toothbrush, and everybody's aware of crime. The degree of awareness doesn't correlate with the amount of it; it's just a byproduct of manufacturing progress.
With the next leap in media penetration about to happen with the info highway, I predict that there will be another leap in crime awareness. Not only will you be able to live in a virtual world, you won't want to venture outside it. It's just not safe out there.
So, now you agree that crime is down?
blogpants,
now he can't deny it.
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